Sepoy’s chances of winning the Blue Diamond Stakes – Golden Slipper double decrease with every new shower that falls on Sydney’s Rosehill Gardens Racecourse.
The talented two-year-old colt finished second to Anthony Cummings’ Smart Missile in the Group 2 Todman Stakes on March 19, 2011, on a rain affected track.
Ross McDonald, who trained the last winner of the Blue Diamond Stakes – Golden Slipper double with Courtza in 1989 believes that the rain will most certainly be the deciding factor in whether Sepoy is able to perform in the race this Saturday April 2, 2011.
“The $3.20 for what he’s done is terrific odds, but you’d want $5 or $6 if it’s wet,” McDonald said.
Macdonald believes that Sepoy’s mid field draw of barrier 10 is not a problem for the speedy colt, however, the ground will be.
“The weather is his problem rather than the draw,” he said.
“He didn’t look as though he handled the wet track.”
Furthermore, there is the question of Smart Missile, who is believed to have improved even further since his upset win in the Todman Stakes.
“The other thing is you don’t know how much Anthony Cummings’ horse (Smart Missile) has improved, he’s had two starts, Sepoy’s had five,” McDonald said.
Only four horses have ever achieved the Blue Diamond Stakes – Golden Slipper double, despite the fact that 29 Blue Diamond winners have tried.
“A lot of good ones have tried it,” McDonald said.
“You need a bit of luck, that’s the sort of race it is.”
McDonald believes that it is now even harder to achieve the double, as the races were much closer together when his filly succeeded in the task.
“There was only two weeks between the races in Courtza’s year, that probably helped her,” he said.
“It wasn’t that hard keeping her up.”
A mostly fine day is predicted for Saturday’s race, however, there is no knowing how the constant showers leading up to it will affect the Rosehill track.