2011 AJC Australian Derby – Form & Betting Update

April 8th, 2011

With the 150th running of the AJC Australian Derby (2400m) scheduled for tomorrow April 9, 2011, the betting markets for the race are beginning to settle into place.

Current favourite for the $1.5 million AJC Australian Derby is John Bary’s Jimmy Choux.

Jimmy Choux is currently paying odds of $2.25 at Luxbet and is well backed to win his sixth straight race on Saturday.

The three-year-old Thorn Park colt has already won the Group 1 NZ Derby two starts back and is looking to be successful in nabbing the New Zealand-Australian Derby double.

Luxbet’s leading bookmaker, Paul Vincent, believes the 2011 AJC Australian Derby is “a race with very few chances”.

Mr Vincent feels the inside barrier may be a hindrance to Jimmy Choux’s chances with the possible wet track conditions.

“Kiwi Jimmy Choux narrowly beat Retrieve in the Rosehill Guineas and is the obvious danger but his inside draw may end up being a detriment rather than an advantage,” Mr Vincent said.

Mr Vincent is confident that Retrieve can bounce back from his shock sixth-place finish in last start’s Tulloch Stakes.

“I’m forgiving Retrieve for his failure last week and providing they ride him aggressively he can salute as the distance holds no fears,” Mr Vincent said.

Retrieve and recent Australian Guineas winner, Shamrocker, are both currently paying odds of $7 to win the 2011 AJC Australian Derby at Luxbet.

2011 AJC Australian Derby Form

#1 Jimmy Choux

  • Career: 17-10-3-2
  • 10th race this prep
  • Jimmy Choux has certainly had a long prep but has showed no signs of fatigue, especially when winning the Rosehill Guineas last start. He has won a remarkable seven of his past eight starts and looks on track to win another here.

#3 Retrieve

  • Career: 13-4-3-3
  • 5th race this prep
  • Retrieve was the $1.70 favourite in the Tulloch Stakes last start and was unable to finish better than sixth. The extra 400m here is definitely in his favour and he has no excuses for not performing.

#14 Shamrocker

  • Career: 11-3-1-2
  • 4th race this prep
  • Shamrocker will suit the distance, finishing second to Brazilian Pulse in the 2500m Crown Oaks last year. She finished well in the Rosehill Guineas last start and got home for a place. Definite threat here.